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Economic and Credit Union Forecast

Economic, CU Forecast

Get the text explanation of this forecast here.


Economic Forecast
(January, 2017)
  Actual Results Quarterly Results/Forecasts Annual Forecasts
  5Yr Avg 2015 2016:4 2017:1 2017:2 2017:3 2017:4 2016 2017
Growth rates:
*Economic Growth (% chg GDP) 2.00% 2.40% 2.50% 2.70% 2.70% 2.30% 2.30% 1.80% 2.50%
Inflation (% chg CPI) 1.55% 0.67% 2.00% 3.00% 2.50% 2.25% 2.25% 2.00% 2.50%
Core Inflation (ex. food & energy) 1.92% 2.09% 2.25% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.25% 2.50%
Unemployment Rate 5.16% 5.00% 4.70% 4.60% 4.70% 4.50% 4.60% 4.70% 4.60%
Fed Funds Rate 0.17% 0.24% 0.54% 0.65% 0.90% 1.15% 1.40% 0.54% 1.40%
10-Year Treasury Rate 2.21% 2.24% 2.55% 2.55% 2.85% 3.00% 3.00% 2.45% 3.00%
10-Year Fed Fund Spread 2.04% 2.00% 1.91% 1.90% 1.95% 1.85% 1.50% 1.91% 1.60%
* Percent change, annual rate.
All other numbers are averages for the period

Credit Union Forecast
(January, 2017)
  Actual Results Quarterly Results/Forecasts Annual Forecasts
  5Yr Avg 2015 2016:4 2017:1 2017:2 2017:3 2017:4 2016 2017
Growth rates:
Savings growth* 5.2% 6.8% 1.0% 1.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 7.3% 5.5%
Loan growth* 6.8% 10.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 2.5% 10.0% 10.0%
Asset growth* 5.6% 7.3% 1.6% 2.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 7.5% 6.5%
Membership growth* 2.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 3.8% 3.5%
Liquidity:
Loan-to-share ratio** 72.4% 77.7% 79.3% 79.5% 80.3% 81.7% 82.7% 79.3% 82.7%
Asset quality:
Delinquency rate** 1.08% 0.81% 0.75% 0.76% 0.77% 0.76% 0.75% 0.75% 0.75%
Net chargeoff rate** 0.64% 0.48% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%
Earnings:
Return on average assets (ROA)** 0.77% 0.75% 0.75% 0.77% 0.75% 0.76% 0.76% 0.77% 0.75%
Capital adequacy:
Net worth ratio** 10.7% 10.9% 10.9% 10.8% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9%
* End of period annualized rate
**End of period ratio
See also our MCUE website
If you have any questions or comments send an email to ppineda@cuna.coop

Get a PDF file of this info here.

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