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Economic and Credit Union Forecast

Economic, CU Forecast

Get the text explanation of this forecast here.


Economic Forecast
(March, 2017)
  Actual Results Quarterly Results/Forecasts Annual Forecasts
  5Yr Avg 2016 2017:1 2017:2 2017:3 2017:4 2018 2017 2018
Growth rates:
*Economic Growth (% chg GDP) 2.10% 1.90% 1.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 1.50% 2.30% 2.50%
Inflation (% chg CPI) 1.30% 2.10% 3.00% 2.50% 2.25% 2.25% 2.30% 2.50% 2.30%
Core Inflation (ex. food & energy) 1.90% 2.20% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.30% 2.50% 2.30%
Unemployment Rate 6.00% 4.70% 4.60% 4.70% 4.50% 4.60% 4.50% 4.60% 4.50%
Fed Funds Rate 0.23% 0.54% 0.65% 0.90% 1.15% 1.40% 1.40% 1.40% 2.50%
10-Year Treasury Rate 2.31% 2.45% 2.40% 2.60% 2.60% 2.80% 3.00% 2.80% 3.50%
10-Year Fed Fund Spread 2.08% 1.91% 1.75% 1.70% 1.45% 1.40% 1.60% 1.40% 1.00%
* Percent change, annual rate.
All other numbers are averages for the period

Credit Union Forecast
(March, 2017)
  Actual Results Quarterly Results/Forecasts Annual Forecasts
  5Yr Avg 2015 2016:4 2017:1 2017:2 2017:3 2017:4 2016 2017
Growth rates:
Savings growth* 5.7% 7.6% 1.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 5.5% 5.0%
Loan growth* 8.7% 10.6% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 2.5% 1.8% 10.0% 9.0%
Asset growth* 6.1% 7.4% 2.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 6.5% 6.0%
Membership growth* 3.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 3.5% 3.0%
Liquidity:
Loan-to-share ratio** 74.5% 79.8% 78.7% 80.3% 81.6% 82.7% 82.9% 82.7% 85.8%
Asset quality:
Delinquency rate** 0.93% 0.83% 0.76% 0.77% 0.76% 0.76% 0.80% 0.80% 0.85%
Net chargeoff rate** 0.57% 0.55% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% 0.55% 0.55% 0.60%
Earnings:
Return on average assets (ROA)** 0.81% 0.76% 0.77% 0.75% 0.75% 0.76% 0.75% 0.75% 0.80%
Capital adequacy:
Net worth ratio** 10.8% 10.9% 10.8% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 11.0%
* End of period annualized rate
**End of period ratio
See also our MCUE website
If you have any questions or comments send an email to ppineda@cuna.coop

Get a PDF file of this info here.

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